{"id":81145,"date":"2024-08-14T18:31:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T18:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resourcework2.devstudio.work\/?p=81145"},"modified":"2024-11-11T10:24:11","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T10:24:11","slug":"canada-faces-electrical-crunch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resourcework2.devstudio.work\/?p=81145","title":{"rendered":"Canada faces crunch in electrical supply"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Experts warn that Canada, and much of North America, could face electricity shortages from now through 2028. This, they say, is due to booming demand for power \u2014 for a growing population, industrial processes, clean-energy initiatives, the electrification of vehicles, and the boom in computer data centers handling Artificial Intelligence programs. (Internet queries utilizing AI require about 10 times the electricity of traditional internet searches, according to analysis<\/a> by the Electric Power Research Institute in the U.S.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rising demand for electricity is aggravated by increasingly hot summers, leading to more air conditioning use, and, in B.C., drought conditions that have affected the output of BC Hydro dams and led BC Hydro to import more power from the U.S. Canada\u2019s push to switch more of us into electric vehicles led a University of Victoria professor to paint this picture: Canada would need the equivalent of 10 more Site C dams to generate enough power just to fuel the electric car revolution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s because the federal government has decreed that all new passenger vehicles and light trucks sold in Canada must be zero-emissions by 2035. Meanwhile, B.C. has targeted 90% electric vehicle sales by 2030. G. Cornelius van Kooten, economics professor and Canada Research Chair in Environmental Studies and Climate Change at the University of Victoria, said the federal government\u2019s timeline \u201cisn\u2019t realistic or feasible.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His study<\/a> says the vehicle transformation could increase power demand in Canada by as much as 15.3%. That\u2019s equivalent to 10 new mega-size hydro dams or 13 large natural-gas power plants. That\u2019s just in Canada, and for only one policy. And it doesn\u2019t include an estimate of the additional cost of new and expanded transmission lines to get the new power from where it is generated to where it is needed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B.C. certainly faces a power crunch and is a prime example of North America\u2019s power challenges. LNG Canada is set to come online in mid-2025. It burns natural gas to generate its power because BC Hydro can\u2019t deliver enough to the site. LNG Canada is also looking into expansion, doubling its output. It would hope to electrify the plant. But can BC Hydro meet the demand?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then comes Woodfibre LNG, which will begin to export LNG in 2027. It says that, \u201cpowered by renewable hydroelectricity,\u201d Woodfibre LNG \u201cwill be the world\u2019s first net-zero LNG export facility.\u201d Again, can BC Hydro meet the demand? And what about the Haisla Nation\u2019s Cedar LNG project, and the Nisga\u2019a Nation\u2019s Ksi Lisims LNG project? They, too, want electricity to power their operations. And B.C. requires new LNG facilities<\/a> to achieve net-zero emissions by 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economist Werner Antweiler of the Sauder School of Business at the University of B.C. has suggested B.C. will probably at some point have to limit industries that use huge amounts of power. LNG Canada alone could use more than a quarter of the electricity produced by BC Hydro\u2019s Site C dam, which comes online next year. That will make LNG Canada BC Hydro’s third largest customer<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So where does all the new power come from for LNG plants, electric vehicles, greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction programs, hydrogen development, data centers, and more? The Site C dam will provide an eight-percent increase in B.C.\u2019s power supply, but the B.C. government said in April that electricity demand is expected to increase by 15% until 2030. So BC Hydro issued a call<\/a> for more power supplies \u2014 amounting to 5% more \u2014 and specified that it was for electricity from \u201cclean or renewable resources.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BC Hydro expects its next call to be issued in 2026, with subsequent calls to come approximately every two years. Then there\u2019s the cost of new and expanded transmission lines. BC Hydro will be spending nearly $36 billion on B.C.\u2019s electricity grid, an increase of 50% over its previous capital plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And while BC Hydro has in recent years been importing power from the U.S. (about 20% of its needs last year), soaring power demands in the U.S. will make imports less easy to obtain. The U.S. Pacific Northwest expects a 30% rise in its own power demand over the next 10 years. And the North American Electric Reliability Corporation says that for B.C.<\/a> \u201cenergy risks increase in 2026 as forecasted demand increases and natural-gas-fired generation retires.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a major report<\/a> on B.C. power supply and demand, the B.C.-based Energy Futures Institute (EFI) notes: \u201cThe Quebec government has recently expressed the need to increase electrical generation capacity by 100% in the next 25 years to support their GHG reduction goals. Given that British Columbia has a similar GHG profile associated with its domestic electricity production, and has legislated decarbonization objectives that are at least as aggressive as Quebec, it is reasonable to assume British Columbia is facing a similarly daunting challenge in terms of generating more electricity, i.e., doubling existing generation capacity.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What B.C. needs, says the EFI, is \u201ca bold, forward-looking energy strategy\u201d \u2014 and one that acknowledges that \u201cless than 20% of the province\u2019s total end-use energy demand is currently met through electricity, with the vast majority coming from fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and natural gas.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B.C. is not alone in facing a power crunch. The federal government projects that grid demand across the country by 2050 will be twice what it is today. To meet that demand, the capacity of the grid will have to double in the next 21 years. Ontario forecasts<\/a> a 60% increase in electricity demand over the next 25 years, with expected annual growth of 2% for the next couple of decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A study<\/a> by the Power Workers’ Union finds Ontario faces a significant electricity supply shortage and reliability risks within the next four to eight years. It emphasizes \u201cthe urgent need for new low-emission nuclear generation to fill the expected supply gap, particularly with the planned closure of the Pickering nuclear power plant in 2025.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Macdonald-Laurier Institute reports<\/a>: \u201cOntario is racing to safely build new nuclear plants to meet expected demand by 2029, while filling interim demand with new gas plants and a new call for renewables. . . . . Quebec is spending up to $185 billion to solidify provincial supply amidst rising demand both in- and out-of-province. . . . Even Manitoba, a province with abundant and previously boundless supplies of cheap hydroelectricity, is now projecting a deficit by 2029 and is being forced to restrict access for potential new businesses due to supply shortages.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., power use is forecast to reach record highs<\/a> this year and next. Grid planners expect nationwide power demand to grow 4.7% over the next five years, compared to a previous estimate of 2.6%. Additionally, the U.S. will spend $2.2 billion<\/a> to overhaul the national power grid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here in Canada, our entire electricity system indeed faces a crunch. If nothing else, stand by to pay more for your Canadian power, if not for occasional brownouts and blackouts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The electricity grid’s capacity will have to double in the next 21 years to meet the forecasted demand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":83547,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCanada faces crunch in electrical supply -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/resourcework2.devstudio.work\/canada-faces-electrical-crunch\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Canada faces crunch in electrical supply -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" 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