{"id":82063,"date":"2018-12-31T13:21:00","date_gmt":"2018-12-31T14:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resourcework2.devstudio.work\/?p=82063"},"modified":"2024-11-16T01:11:19","modified_gmt":"2024-11-16T01:11:19","slug":"oilpatch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resourcework2.devstudio.work\/?p=82063","title":{"rendered":"OPINION: How a strategy to undermine the Canadian oilpatch worked like a charm"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This article appeared in the Calgary Herald on Dec. 29, 2018. Link<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s so bad that heavyweight energy investors with large bets on Canada are now seeing fit to write courtly letters to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau explaining the nature of their business, since there seems to be no other way for him to know it. They\u2019re probably wondering why they\u2019re wasting time, with so many of their brethren having already hightailed it out of Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just a few years ago, oil executives encountered in Calgary seemed like a taut and eager breed of problem solvers \u2014 sharp-eyed and ready to spring on the next challenge. No longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why is the patient so ill when the No. 1 determinant, world oil prices are reasonably sound? Money is still fairly cheap. Success is not hampered by a shortage of labour or knowhow. New oilsands projects are coming online and the result is a record amount of our heavy oil being produced and ready for export. All of this should add up to success, but that\u2019s not what\u2019s happening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The simple fact that Canadian oil is being heavily discounted seems an insufficient explanation for the current funk. So does the banal observation that a lack of pipelines is the problem. There is more to it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The present we are living in suddenly bears an uncanny resemblance to the future envisaged a decade ago in an environmentalist strategy document<\/a> now infamous in the Canadian energy business: The Rockefeller Strategy, so named because of the foundation on whose letterhead it was circulated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The basic strategy was to raise the negatives of the oilsands, raise costs, slow down and stop infrastructure, and enrol key decision-makers in opposition to Canada\u2019s oil industry. Ten years later, all of those things have come to pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Rockefeller group, based in the United States, laid down five specific tracks to solve what they saw as the Canadian problem. First, they would stop the expansion of pipelines and other infrastructure. Second, they would forcibly cause reforms to the governance of \u201cwater, toxics and land.\u201d Third, they would \u201csignificantly reduce future demand\u201d for oilsands product. Next, they would leverage the debate to policy victories in both the U.S. and Canada. Finally, they would persuade policymakers that oil wasn\u2019t going to be needed in the future because we\u2019d have electric cars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To execute this strategy, Rockefeller commenced a decade-long campaign to taint the world\u2019s image of Canada and turn Canadians against each other. It was a brilliant success. Here is a slide from the campaign plan:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Rockefeller\u2019s funders must be pleased with Trans Mountain\u2019s expansion in limbo, the two next best pipeline prospects barely registering a pulse, and Alberta lowering its oil production on Jan. 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Next, the Trudeau government is preparing to pass legislation to permanently bar oil exports from leaving ports on the northwest coast of British Columbia and break up our distinguished National Energy Board after it was persistently criticized by Rockefeller\u2019s partners in its anti-oilsands campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our oil is called \u201cethical\u201d for good reason. Yet, few of Canada\u2019s high environmental and social standards that apply to domestic production are imposed on the inward flow of imported oil. It\u2019s another of those dissonant facts we have become accustomed to. Discriminate against ourselves? Well, if we must. Against others, like Saudi oil \u2014 we wouldn\u2019t dare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thankfully, the environmentalists\u2019 goal of reducing future demand for western crude oil has been less of a success. Based on current projections from the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, crude oil production will jump 1.4 million barrels per day by 2035 to 5.6 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One thing the Rockefeller group didn\u2019t predict was the ingenuity of Canadian oil marketers as oil by rail, truck, and optimized existing pipelines has ensured that even if it\u2019s going cheaply to market, that oil is still getting to customers. Still, without changes, the Rockefeller strategy may yet prevail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As 2018 closes, there is a rising bitterness in the West. A highly beneficial, ever-improving industry tooled for greener stewardship was targeted for a takedown that worked. No particular environmental benefits have resulted. The only clear winner here is the U.S. economy. Landlocked Canadian oil means cheap feedstock for American refineries. We are, unwittingly, helping to Make America Great Again where annual economic growth is almost four per cent versus a paltry two per cent in Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Trump energy and economic expansion, love it or hate it, means that every environmental measure in Canada is of trivial global impact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Congratulations, Canada, you\u2019ve been thoroughly had by a U.S. eco-campaign that hurt our economy but hasn\u2019t slowed U.S. oil interests one iota.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stewart Muir is executive director of Resource Works.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Canada\u2019s debilitating inability to gain fair market value for its largest export commodity \u2013 crude oil \u2013 has become the top economic story of 2018. 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